Multiple attribute scenarios, bounded probabilities, and threats of nuclear theft
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Multiple attribute scenarios , bounded probabi - lities , and threats of nuclear theft
X method is presented for developing descriptions of future scenarios and using expert judgment to assess bounds on the probabilities of these scenarios. Multiple attributes are used to describe the important features of the scenarios, and the scenarios are defined as collections of different possible levels of the attributes. Experts assess either numerical values or bounds on various uncondit...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Futures
سال: 1982
ISSN: 0016-3287
DOI: 10.1016/0016-3287(82)90038-6